| Best Actress |
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| PICTURE |
DIRECTOR |
ACTOR |
SUP. ACTOR |
SUP. ACTRESS |
ORIGINAL S'PLAY |
TECH |
STAND-ALONE |
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| THE FIVE NOMINEES: |
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| THE WINNER: |
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| NICOLE KIDMAN "THE HOURS" |
SALMA HAYEK "FRIDA" |
DIANE LANE "UNFAITHFUL" |
JULIANNE MOORE "FAR FROM HEAVEN" |
RENEE ZELLWEGER "CHICAGO" |
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| With a Golden Globe in tow, she must be considered the frontrunner despite the SAG loss. |
Like Will Smith in "Ali" last year, biographical pet projects always seem to grab Oscar's attention. |
The fact that her performance stayed in voters' minds since last spring attests to her loyal supporters. |
She's won almost every precursor award and got the reviews of a lifetime. Like many are agreeing, it's her year. |
A Golden Globe win proved she is indeed in contention for the big prize. The SAG win certainly helps her. |
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| Hayek's film garnered the least acclaim of her competitors. Will she ever play this strong of a role again? |
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| THE LOWDOWN: |
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| Nicole Kidman wins as predicted. Perhaps the only way that the Academy faltered this year (while doing a surprisingly large number of things right for once) was by letting Julianne Moore go home empty-handed. Kidman was great in "The Hours," but she's relatively new to the awards scene and will have about 5 more chances in the next few years to win an Oscar judging by her upcoming slate. Denzel Washington, when opening the Best Actress envelope, continued the long-running pun that she would win "by a nose." |
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| DIDN'T MAKE THE CUT THIS YEAR: |
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| SAMANTHA MORTON "MORVERN CALLAR" This indie pic is flying a bit under the radar right now. It'll probably get forgotten. |
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| CATE BLANCHETT "HEAVEN" It's an understated performance that never broke out of limited release. |
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| JENNIFER ANISTON "THE GOOD GIRL" The lack of a Golden Globe nom basically spells doom for her once-bright chances. |
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| CATHERINE KEENER "LOVELY & AMAZING" This was the best of several films she had in '02. She'll need the critics on her side. |
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| MAGGIE GYLLENHAAL "SECRETARY" Her "for your consideration" ads hit the trades first. In a weaker year for this category, she might have been a welcome surprise. |
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| NIA VARDALOS "MY BIG FAT GREEK WEDDING" She needed the Golden Globe win to even think of fitting into this tight category. A screenplay nomination should do. |
MERYL STREEP "THE HOURS" She's great as part of this emsemble, but better to spread the wealth -- she's a shoo-in for "Adaptation." |
SIGOURNEY WEAVER "THE GUYS" Another one-week qualifier. Its 9/11 themes are topical, but the film's small. |
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| ORIGINAL PREDIX 4/12/02... DUNST - STREEP - HAYEK* - BLANCHETT - ZELLWEGER LABOR DAY PREDIX 8/25/02... LANE* - STREEP - HAYEK - KEENER - ANISTON EARLY SEPT. PREDIX 9/3/02... LANE - STREEP - HAYEK - KEENER - MOORE* LATE SEPT. PREDIX 9/19/02... LANE - STREEP - HAYEK - KEENER - MOORE* EARLY OCT. PREDIX 10/6/02... LANE - STREEP - HAYEK - ZELLWEGER - MOORE* HALLOWEEN PREDIX 10/31/02... LANE - STREEP - HAYEK - ZELLWEGER - MOORE* NOVEMBER PREDIX 11/18/02... LANE - STREEP - KIDMAN - ZELLWEGER - MOORE* EARLY DEC. PREDIX 12/6/02... LANE - STREEP - KIDMAN - ZELLWEGER - MOORE* LATE DEC. PREDIX 12/19/02... LANE - STREEP - KIDMAN - ZELLWEGER - MOORE* EARLY JAN. PREDIX 1/7/03... LANE - HAYEK - KIDMAN - ZELLWEGER - MOORE* LATE JAN. PREDIX 1/20/03... LANE - STREEP - KIDMAN - ZELLWEGER - MOORE* FINAL PREDIX 2/2/03... LANE - STREEP - KIDMAN - ZELLWEGER - MOORE* |
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| FOR HER: |
| AGAINST HER: |
| It's likely she'll get nominated next year, and Julianne's had stronger buzz. Is Kidman a lead? |
| FOR HER: |
| AGAINST HER: |
| Right now, Best Actress seems to be a 2-way race between Kidman and Moore. Lane's nod is a prize. |
| FOR HER: |
| AGAINST HER: |
| If voters want to see both her and Kidman win, they may throw Moore's votes in favor of her "Hours" performance. |
| FOR HER: |
| AGAINST HER: |
| Comedy doesn't always sink in with Oscar voters, and her role doesn't have the historical depth of some of the other women. |
| FOR HER: |
| AGAINST HER: |
