Who will win...
BEST PICTURE
"The Departed" has Martin Scorsese going for it, "Babel" has a lot of
nominations going for it, "Letters From Iwo Jima" has Clint Eastwood
going for it, and "Little Miss Sunshine" has a boatload of precursors
(PGA, WGA, SAG) going for it.  (Sadly, "The Queen" doesn't have
much going for it.)  In the most wide-open year race since 2000, it's...
PREDICTION
Little Miss Sunshine
BEST DIRECTOR
There really is no question here -- it's Marty's time, and none of the
other nominees have enough buzz to topple him (not even Clint).  
People may assume that the Academy is just throwing him a bone
after so many years of losing, but he really does deserve it for "The
Departed."
PREDICTION
Martin Scorsese, The Departed
BEST ACTOR
The Peter O'Toole sympathy vote doesn't seem to have materialized,
so it looks like the acting legend will be going 0/8 in competitive Oscar
wins.  Forest Whitaker has won nearly every precursor award in sight,
so there's little suspense in whether he'll be taking home the trophy
on the 25th.
PREDICTION
Forest Whitaker, Last King of Scotland
BEST ACTRESS
The Helen Mirren train was unstoppable this year, so the British
actress will be taking home a long-deserved trophy for playing a
British monarch.  I'm betting that her acceptance speech will be one
of the wittiest of the night -- or at least it should be after getting so
much practice.
PREDICTION
Helen Mirren, The Queen
BEST SUPPORTING ACTOR
The one off-the-wall prediction.  If "Little Miss Sunshine" is destined to
win Best Picture as I'm predicting, it's gotta win at least one other big
award other than Best Original Screenplay.  Given the lack of support
for "Dreamgirls" with its no-show in the top two categories, I'm
guessing Eddie Murphy
just misses.  Blame the "Norbit" ads.
PREDICTION
Alan Arkin, Little Miss Sunshine
BEST SUPPORTING ACTRESS
Like Helen Mirren, there really was no stopping Jennifer Hudson this
year.  But call me cynical, because I just can't see her branching off
into many more Oscar-y roles in the years ahead; this seems like a
one-time-only meshing of perfect performer with perfect role in a
perfect year.  We'll see.
PREDICTION
Jennifer Hudson, Dreamgirls
BEST ORIGINAL SCREENPLAY
It could be the year of Peter Morgan, since he wrote both "The Last
King of Scotland" and the nominated "The Queen," but I think that
Michael Arndt's script for "Little Miss Sunshine" will take the prize.  If
so, the 3 wins for the family road comedy are probably among the
lowest on record for a Best Picture winner (if it does indeed win).
PREDICTION
Little Miss Sunshine
BEST ADAPTED SCREENPLAY
Since "The Departed" is the only script in this bunch that's also a Best
Picture nominee, it should easily win.  However, wouldn't it be much
more fun if "Borat" was the victor and Sacha Baron Cohen came
onstage to do some sort of kooky act?  Well, it's not gonna happen --
so rent the movie.
PREDICTION
The Departed
BEST CINEMATOGRAPHY
PREDICTION
Children of Men
BEST EDITING
PREDICTION
Babel
BEST ART DIRECTION
PREDICTION
Pan's Labyrinth
BEST SCORE
PREDICTION
Pan's Labyrinth
BEST COSTUME DESIGN
PREDICTION
The Devil Wears Prada
BEST ORIGINAL SONG
PREDICTION
'Listen' - Dreamgirls
BEST SOUND MIXING
PREDICTION
Dreamgirls
BEST SOUND EDITING
PREDICTION
Apocalypto
BEST VISUAL EFFECTS
PREDICTION
Pirates of the Caribbean II
BEST MAKEUP
PREDICTION
Pan's Labyrinth
BEST ANIMATED FILM
PREDICTION
Cars
BEST FOREIGN FILM
PREDICTION
Pan's Labyrinth - Mexico
BEST DOCUMENTARY FEATURE
PREDICTION
An Inconvenient Truth
BEST DOCUMENTARY SHORT
PREDICTION
The Blood of Yingzhou District
BEST ANIMATED SHORT
PREDICTION
The Little Matchgirl
BEST LIVE-ACTION SHORT
PREDICTION
One Too Many
The Predictions
FINAL PREDICTIONS FOR 2/25/07
CATEGORY PAGES:
MAIN PAGE
E-MAIL ME
THE BLOG
PRECURSOR CHART
MOVIE REVIEWS
ARTICLES &
INTERVIEWS
OLD OSCAR PAGES
IMPORTANT LINKS:
BEST PICTURE
BEST DIRECTOR
BEST ACTOR
BEST ACTRESS
BEST SUPPORTING
ACTOR
BEST SUPPORTING
ACTRESS
BEST ORIGINAL
SCREENPLAY
TECH CATEGORIES
STAND-ALONE
CATEGORIES
BEST ADAPTED
SCREENPLAY
NOMINEES
Babel
The Departed
The Queen
Little Miss Sunshine
Dreamgirls
NOMINEES
Alejandro Inarritu, Babel
Martin Scorsese, The Departed
Stephen Frears, The Queen
Paul Greengrass, United 93
Clint Eastwood, Letters From Iwo Jima
NOMINEES
Ryan Gosling, Half Nelson
Forest Whitaker, Last King of Scotland
Peter O'Toole, Venus
Leonardo DiCaprio, Blood Diamond
Will Smith, The Pursuit of Happyness
NOMINEES
Helen Mirren, The Queen
Penelope Cruz, Volver
Meryl Streep, The Devil Wears Prada
Kate Winslet, Little Children
Judi Dench, Notes on a Scandal
NOMINEES
Alan Arkin, Little Miss Sunshine
Djimon Hounsou, Blood Diamond
Mark Wahlberg, The Departed
Jackie E. Haley, Little Children
Eddie Murphy, Dreamgirls
NOMINEES
Rinko Kikuchi, Babel
Adriana Barraza, Babel
Jennifer Hudson, Dreamgirls
Abigail Breslin, Little Miss Sunshine
Cate Blanchett, Notes on a Scandal
NOMINEES
Little Miss Sunshine
Pan's Labyrinth
Letters From Iwo Jima
Babel
The Queen
NOMINEES
Borat
Children of Men
The Departed
Notes on a Scandal
Little Children
NOMINEES
The Black Dahlia
The Prestige
Children of Men
Pan's Labyrinth
The Illusionist
NOMINEES
United 93
The Departed
Blood Diamond
Babel
Children of Men
NOMINEES
Dreamgirls
The Prestige
The Good Shepherd
Pan's Labyrinth
Pirates of the Caribbean II
NOMINEES
Babel
The Queen
The Good German
Notes on a Scandal
Pan's Labyrinth
NOMINEES
Marie-Antoinette
Dreamgirls
The Devil Wears Prada
Curse of the Golden Flower
The Queen
NOMINEES
'Listen' - Dreamgirls
'Love You, I Do' - Dreamgirls
'...Wake Up' - Inconvenient Truth
'Patience' - Dreamgirls
'Our Town' - Cars
NOMINEES
Pirates of the Caribbean II
Apocalypto
Dreamgirls
Flags of Our Fathers
Blood Diamond
NOMINEES
Pirates of the Caribbean II
Blood Diamond
Flags of Our Fathers
Letters From Iwo Jima
Apocalypto
NOMINEES
Pirates of the Caribbean II
Poseidon
Superman Returns
NOMINEES
Click
Apocalypto
Pan's Labyrinth
NOMINEES
Happy Feet
Cars
Monster House
NOMINEES
Pan's Labyrinth - Mexico
Days of Glory - Algeria
The Lives of Others - Germany
After the Wedding - Denmark
Water - Canada
NOMINEES
An Inconvenient Truth
Deliver Us From Evil
My Country, My Country
Iraq in Fragments
Jesus Camp
NOMINEES
The Blood of Yingzhou District
Recycled Life
Rehearsing a Dream
Two Hands
PREDICTIONS
The Danish Poet
Lifted
The Little Matchgirl
Maestro
No Time for Nuts
PREDICTIONS
Binta and the Grand Idea
One Too Many
Helmer & Son
The Savior
West Bank Story
TOP 10 FILMS
BEST OF THE YEAR