| All the nominees in every category |
|||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| BEST PICTURE |
|||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| These were the five films that everyone expected, and the Academy didn't disappoint. "Sideways," "The Aviator," and "Million Dollar Baby" will be duking it out for the win, with "The Aviator" out slightly in front. Don't be surprised if Scorsese takes the Best Director trophy but "Baby" wins here. |
|||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| FINAL PREDICTIONS Sideways Ray The Aviator Million Dollar Baby Finding Neverland |
ACTUAL NOMINEES Sideways Ray The Aviator Million Dollar Baby Finding Neverland |
||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| BEST DIRECTOR |
|||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Well a curveball came, but it wasn't the one many were expecting -- Mike Leigh, whose "Vera Drake" had mostly been forgotten save for Imelda Staunton's lead performance, made the cut. No Zhang Yimou for "Flying Daggers" or Michel Gondry for "Eternal Sunshine." And happily it was Marc Forster ("Finding Neverland") that got the axe. |
|||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| FINAL PREDICTIONS Alexander Payne, Sideways Taylor Hackford, Ray Martin Scorsese, The Aviator Clint Eastwood, Million Dollar Baby Marc Forster, Finding Neverland |
|||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| ACTUAL NOMINEES Alexander Payne, Sideways Taylor Hackford, Ray Martin Scorsese, The Aviator Clint Eastwood, Million Dollar Baby Mike Leigh, Vera Drake |
|||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| BEST ACTOR |
|||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| This category had been a toss-up all season aside from Jamie Foxx, but I'm glad that Eastwood made it. It was one of the better acting performances of his career, and the nod was well-deserved. The lack of a nomination for Paul Giamatti indicates less-than-universal appeal for "Sideways." |
|||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| FINAL PREDICTIONS Paul Giamatti, Sideways Jamie Foxx, Ray Johnny Depp, Finding Neverland Don Cheadle, Hotel Rwanda Leonardo DiCaprio, The Aviator |
ACTUAL NOMINEES Clint Eastwood, Million Dollar Baby Jamie Foxx, Ray Johnny Depp, Finding Neverland Don Cheadle, Hotel Rwanda Leonardo DiCaprio, The Aviator |
||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| BEST ACTRESS |
|||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 5 for 5, just as predicted. There should've been room for Julie Delpy ("Before Sunset") and Uma Thurman "(Kill Bill") on this list. I could have lived without the Annette Bening nomination, and although Imelda Staunton was good in "Vera Drake," there were others who were better. |
|||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| FINAL PREDICTIONS Annette Bening, Being Julia Kate Winslet, Eternal Sunshine Catalina Moreno, Maria Full of Grace Hilary Swank, Million Dollar Baby Imelda Staunton, Vera Drake |
ACTUAL NOMINEES Annette Bening, Being Julia Kate Winslet, Eternal Sunshine Catalina Moreno, Maria Full of Grace Hilary Swank, Million Dollar Baby Imelda Staunton, Vera Drake |
||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| BEST SUPPORTING ACTOR |
|||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| No, the Oscar voters really didn't like "Kill Bill." But they really, really liked Jamie Foxx, who scored that beleaguered "supporting" nomination for a lead performance in "Collateral." The biggest surprise of the morning, however, was Alan Alda for "The Aviator." Barely a word was mentioned about him for months, but now he might even win. |
|||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| ACTUAL NOMINEES Thomas Haden Church, Sideways Jamie Foxx, Collateral Clive Owen, Closer Morgan Freeman, Million Dollar Baby Alan Alda, The Aviator |
|||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| FINAL PREDICTIONS Thomas Haden Church, Sideways Jamie Foxx, Collateral Clive Owen, Closer Morgan Freeman, Million Dollar Baby David Carradine, Kill Bill Vol. II |
|||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| BEST SUPPORTING ACTRESS |
|||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| This was a toss-up -- it was going to be either Okonedo or Winslet. In the name of diversity, it's worth pointing out that of the 20 slots for actors, 5 are filled by black performers (inlcuding Jamie Foxx twice). Throw in the Colombian-born Catalina Sandino Moreno from Best Actress, and it's nice to see Oscar expanding its palette. |
|||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| FINAL PREDICTIONS Virginia Madsen, Sideways Kate Winslet, Finding Neverland Natalie Portman, Closer Cate Blanchett, The Aviator Laura Linney, Kinsey |
ACTUAL NOMINEES TVirginia Madsen, Sideways Sophie Okonedo, Hotel Rwanda Natalie Portman, Closer Cate Blanchett, The Aviator Laura Linney, Kinsey |
||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| BEST ORIGINAL SCREENPLAY |
|||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| "Kinsey" tanked big-time, while "Vera Drake" did surprisingly well. Another minor surprise in this category is that Pierre Bismuth and Michel Gondry were cited as co-screenwriters of "Eternal Sunshine." (I talked to Charlie Kaufman personally about this, and they all merely formulated the ideas; Kaufman wrote the words.) |
|||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| ACTUAL NOMINEES Mike Leigh, Vera Drake Charlie Kaufman, Eternal Sunshine John Logan, The Aviator Brad Bird, The Incredibles Pearson & George, Hotel Rwanda |
|||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| FINAL PREDICTIONS Bill Condon, Kinsey Charlie Kaufman, Eternal Sunshine John Logan, The Aviator Brad Bird, The Incredibles Pearson & George, Hotel Rwanda |
|||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| BEST ADAPTED SCREENPLAY |
|||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Another easy 5/5 prediction. Well, maybe not that easy. "Before Sunset" was a risky guess to make, but apparently it was liked enough by the writer's branch to make the cut. This helped my score in the Big 8 categories, as I only missed 5 nominees out of 40 -- the best I've done in a few years. |
|||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| FINAL PREDICTIONS A. Payne & J. Taylor, Sideways Paul Haggis, Million Dollar Baby David Magee, Finding Neverland Linklater & The Cast, Before Sunset Jose Rivera, The Motorcycle Diaries |
ACTUAL NOMINEES A. Payne & J. Taylor, Sideways Paul Haggis, Million Dollar Baby David Magee, Finding Neverland Linklater & The Cast, Before Sunset Jose Rivera, The Motorcycle Diaries |
||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| BEST CINEMATOGRAPHY |
|||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| FINAL PREDICTIONS Collateral Ray House of Flying Daggers The Aviator The Passion of the Christ |
ACTUAL NOMINEES The Phantom of the Opera A Very Long Engagement House of Flying Daggers The Aviator The Passion of the Christ |
||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| FINAL PREDICTIONS Eternal Sunshine of the Spotless Mind Million Dollar Baby The Aviator Spider-Man 2 Sideways |
ACTUAL NOMINEES Collateral Million Dollar Baby The Aviator Ray Finding Neverland |
||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| FINAL PREDICTIONS House of Flying Daggers The Terminal Lemony Snicket... The Aviator Finding Neverland |
ACTUAL NOMINEES The Phantom of the Opera A Very Long Engagement Lemony Snicket... The Aviator Finding Neverland |
||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| FINAL PREDICTIONS The Passion of the Christ The Terminal Finding Neverland The Incredibles Sideways |
|||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| FINAL PREDICTIONS The Aviator House of Flying Daggers De-Lovely Ray Phantom of the Opera |
|||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| FINAL PREDICTIONS 'Learn to Be Lonely' -- Phantom 'A Million Voices' -- Hotel Rwanda 'Old Habits Die Hard' -- Alfie 'Believe' -- The Polar Express 'Accidentally in Love' -- Shrek 2 |
|||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| FINAL PREDICTIONS I, Robot Sky Captain & the World of Tomorrow Ray Million Dollar Baby Spider-Man 2 |
|||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| FINAL PREDICTIONS The Incredibles The Day After Tomorrow Spider-Man 2 |
|||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| FINAL PREDICTIONS The Day After Tomorrow Sky Captain & the World of Tomorrow Spider-Man 2 |
|||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| FINAL PREDICTIONS Lemony Snicket... The Passion of the Christ The Aviator |
|||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| FINAL PREDICTIONS Shrek 2 The Incredibles The Polar Express |
|||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| FINAL PREDICTIONS China -- House of Flying Daggers Spain -- The Sea Inside Germany -- Downfall France -- Les Choristes Denmark -- The Five Obstructions |
|||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| FINAL PREDICTIONS Super Size Me The Story of the Weeping Camel Born Into Brothels Touching the Void In the Realms of the Unreal |
|||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| TALLIES & RESULTS |
|||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| TALLY OF NOMINATIONS -- ACTUAL The Aviator Million Dollar Baby, Finding Neverland Ray Sideways The Incredibles, Lemony Snicket... Hotel Rwanda, The Passion of the Christ, Vera Drake, The Phantom of the Opera, The Polar Express, Spider-Man 2 Les Choristes, The Sea Inside, Collateral, Closer, Eternal Sunshine, Shrek 2, A Very Long Engagement, Harry Potter 3, The Motorcycle Diaries Being Julia, Maria Full of Grace, Kinsey, Shark Tale, House of Flying Daggers, Troy, Born Into Brothels, Super Size Me, I, Robot, Story of the Weeping Camel, The Village, Tupac: Resurrection, Before Sunset |
|||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| RESULTS My score -- 65/97 Which is -- 67% Big 8 Categories -- 35/40 Which is -- 88% |
|||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 11 7 6 5 4 3 2 1 |
|||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| TALLY OF NOMINATIONS -- PREDICTED The Aviator Sideways Million Dollar Baby, Finding Neverland Ray Spider-Man 2, House of Flying Daggers, The Incredibles Eternal Sunshine, The Passion of the Christ, Hotel Rwanda Sky Captain, Collateral, Closer, Kinsey, The Polar Express, Shrek 2, The Terminal, Day After Tomorrow, Phantom of the Opera, Lemony Snicket Vera Drake, Maria Full of Grace, I, Robot, Kill Bill Vol. II, Before Sunset, Being Julia, Motorcycle Diaries, De-Lovely, Downfall, The Sea Inside, Choristes, Five Obstructions, Super Size Me, In the Realms of the Unreal, Born Into Brothels, Touching the Void, Story of the Weeping Camel, Alfie |
|||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 10 8 7 6 4 3 2 1 |
|||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| (AND MY SUCCESS RATE) |

