SAG Analysis 2004
BEST ENSEMBLE
NOMINEES
MY PREDICTION / WINNER
This was no surprise (to me at least) and at but confirms that "The Return of the King" will prove
unstoppable on the 29th.  I'm still surprised that "In America," "The Station Agent," and "Seabiscuit"
managed to score nods here.
BEST ACTOR
NOMINEES
MY PREDICTION
WINNER
The biggest shock of the night, and it throws the Best Actor race completely up in the air.  But in the
end, I bet the comedic performances of Johnny Depp and Bill Murray cancel each other out and leave
Sean Penn the victor.  It's just too bad Depp wasn't at the SAG ceremony to make a speech.
BEST ACTRESS
NOMINEES
MY PREDICTION / WINNER
It's final -- Charlize Theron is taking home the Oscar.  She gave a very teary acceptance speech which
seems like a great dry run for the big ceremony next Sunday.  This was the last chance for Diane
Keaton and Naomi Watts, and it just didn't happen.
BEST SUPPORTING ACTOR
NOMINEES
MY PREDICTION / WINNER
Another Oscar guarantee -- Tim Robbins will become an Oscar winner in about a week.  Although I
thought it was a great performance, I wish he was up against some stronger competition (like Peter
Sarsgaard and Paul Bettany).
BEST SUPPORTING ACTRESS
NOMINEES
WINNER
MY PREDICTION
I am very sick of Renee Zellweger, but unfortunately it looks like she'll take home the Oscar.  I'm
flirting with the idea of changing my final Oscar prediction to Shohreh Aghdashloo -- the whole show
can't be this easy to predict, can it?  There has to be at least one surprise...
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"THE STATION AGENT"
"THE RETURN OF THE KING"
"MYSTIC RIVER"
"IN AMERICA"
"SEABISCUIT"
Peter Dinklage,
THE STATION AGENT
Sean Penn,
MYSTIC RIVER
Bill Murray,
LOST IN TRANSLATION
Johnny Depp,
PIRATES OF THE CARIBBEAN
Ben Kingsley,
HOUSE OF SAND & FOG
Patricia Clarkson,
THE STATION AGENT
Naomi Watts,
21 GRAMS
Charlize Theron,
MONSTER
Evan Rachel Wood,
THIRTEEN
Diane Keaton,
SOMETHING'S GOTTA GIVE
Chris Cooper,
SEABISCUIT
Benicio Del Toro,
21 GRAMS
Tim Robbins,
MYSTIC RIVER
Ken Watanabe,
THE LAST SAMURAI
Alec Baldwin,
THE COOLER
Renee Zellweger,
COLD MOUNTAIN
Patricia Clarkson,
PIECES OF APRIL
Holly Hunter,
THIRTEEN
Maria Bello,
THE COOLER
Keisha Castle-Hughes,
WHALE RIDER