The Stand-Alone Categories
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PICTURE
TECH
ANIMATED FILM
WINNER
There probably won't be 5
nominees this year, and
there probably won't be a
winner whose title isn't
"Finding Nemo."  
Nonetheless, here's a
breakdown of all the
available competition.  
(Consequently, it looks like
Disney will finally win their
battle with DreamWorks
this year, since "Sinbad"
tanked so grandly.)
TRIPLETS OF
BELLEVILLE
SONY CLASSICS

This French entry has the
same intelligent aesthetics
that helped "Spirited
Away" win last year.  (Yet
it didn't work for the
excellent "Waking Life"
the year before.)
BROTHER
BEAR
DISNEY

This
traditionally-animated
cartoon was beautiful to
look at, but it failed in
the plot department.  
The competition is
weak.
OFFICIAL LIST OF CONTENDERS:
RUGRATS GO WILD
PARAMOUNT
If this had earned more money, it
might've had a realistic shot at a
nomination.  But it failed to outearn
prior "Rugrats" movies, and was
quickly categorized as a bomb.
POKEMON HEROES
MIRAMAX
I'm not sure why the indie giant
keeps putting out these sub-par anime
cartoons, but with decreasing
audiences and grosses, there's no
way it will get nominated.
TOKYO GODFATHERS
IDP
This anime cartoon didn't resound with
critics as loudly as "Spirited Away" did
last year.  It also didn't ignite the box
office, so it's really a darkhorse candidate
at this point.
NOT SUBMITTED FOR
CONSIDERATION:
SWEDEN
"EVIL"

Few saw this
nomination coming,
and it's unlikely to
gain enough favor to
unseat "The
Barbarian Invasions"
as a frontrunner.  
Still, you never
really know...
FOREIGN FILM
JAPAN
"TWILIGHT SAMURAI"

With its first nomination
in quite some time,
Japan could be poised to
upset given the
renaissance of Japan in
2003 -- everyone saw
"Lost in Translation,"
"The Last Samurai," and
"Kill Bill, Vol. I."
NETHERLANDS
"TWIN SISTERS"

This World War II-era drama
fared well at festivals.  But it's
tough to say if voters will
warm to such a slight -- albeit
serious -- film in the face of
such high-profile competition
from Canada.  This category is
known for offbeat suprises,
though.
"The Barbarian Invasions" will be the
likely winner since the other four
titles came out of nowhere to snag
nominations.  More popular films like
"Osama," "The Return," and
"Monsieur Ibrahim" got the short
shrift this year.
WINNER
CZECH REPUBLIC
"ZELARY"

Another surprise inclusion in this race, voters may
develop an emotional tie to it.  Additionally, never discount
the power of a nominated foreign film that has a studio
backing it -- in this case, Sony Classics.
DOCUMENTARY
FEATURE
CAPTURING THE
FRIEDMANS

It's the most talked-about
non-fiction film from the first part
of the year.  If box office means
anything in this category, this pic is
a strong contender.
THE WEATHER
UNDERGROUND

This documentary fared reasonably well
during its theatrical release, and it
garnered some very respectable
reviews.  The problem is its lower
profile vs. "Fog"  "Friedmans."
The rules have been changed
slightly over the past few years to
let "popular" documentaries have a
shot.  Nonetheless, "Spellbound"
and "Winged Migration" needed
nods before getting distribution.
WINNER
MY ARCHITECT

Nathaniel Kahn's moving exploration
of his father earned raves and
record-breaking box office.
BALSEROS

It was kind of a surprise to see this pic
included in the shortlist and not "Bus 174"
or "Charlie."  It won't win.
OFFICIAL LIST OF CONTENDERS:
INHERITANCE
Hailing from Australia, this is one of
three non-fiction works to make the
shortlist that doesn't have theatrical
distribution.  That could hurt it very
much this year.
CHARLIE
"Time" magazine film critic Richard
Schickel directed this piece about
Charlie Chaplin.  Interesting -- but it
can't compare to movies about human
rights, politics, and corrupt courts.
MY FLESH AND BLOOD
This documentary about a Bay Area
mother who takes care of handicapped
children should've made the shortlist.  But
the selection committee for this category
always makes some interesting picks.
STEP INTO LIQUID
GHOSTS OF THE ABYSS
THE REVOLUTION
WILL NOT BE
TELEVISED
WINNER
DOCUMENTARY
SHORT
ASYLUM
FERRY
TALES
WINNER
SHORT
FILM
(A)TORZIJA
SQUASH
MOST
(THE BRIDGE)
THE RED
JACKET
WINNER
ANIMATED
SHORT
DESTINO
GONE
NUTTY
BOUNDIN'
NIBBLES


FINDING
NEMO
DISNEY

This 'toon is the
best-reviewed film of
the year so far,
animated ot
otherwise.  If it fails
to win, it would be a
very big shock.
THE FOG OF WAR

Errol Morris, one of the luminaries of the
genre, has never been nominated.  With a
timely topic, it could be his time.
CHERNOBYL
HEART
TWO
SOLDIERS
HARVIE
KRUMPET
CANADA
"THE BARBARIAN INVASIONS"

The early frontrunner for the win.  As an allegory that
critiques American ideals while also recounting a humorous
story about familial togetherness, it works on many levels.  
But it may be too witty and not serious enough for the win.
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DIRECTOR

ACTOR
ACTRESS
SUP. ACTOR
ADAP. S'PLAY
ORIG. S'PLAY
SUP. ACTRESS
PIGLET'S FIRST MOVIE
DISNEY
This 'toon reeks of Disney's
direct-to-video sequels -- the
animation wasn't great, the storyline
wasn't great, and the reviews weren't
great.  It'll go right into the rental bin.
THE JUNGLE BOOK 2
DISNEY
Although this, too, flirted with
direct-to-video status, it earned more
money than "Treasure Planet" did,
making it a viable contender (albeit a
very unlikely one).
BACK IN ACTION
WARNER BROS.
This hybrid of live action and animation
may not have enough of the latter to
qualify in this category.  If it does, it'll
still need big box office numbers to get
on the shortlist.
MILLENNIUM ACTRESS
GO FISH
DreamWorks' new art house arm
hopes to follow in the tradition of
Disney by releasing acclaimed anime
films.  But is it too soon after
"Spirited Away"?
JESTER TILL
N/A
This small entry from Germany will only
serve as a vote siphoner, if that.  The fact
that I couldn't even find the name of the
pic's distributor on the internet is proof of
its obscurity.
HEIR TO AN EXECUTION
HBO is behind this pic, and the
network is known for nurturing this
kind of material ("Paradise Lost").
Then again, HBO had a hand in
five
of this year's selections.
THE AGRONOMIST
Oscar winner Jonathan Demme
directed this documentary about
Haitian human rights activist Jean
Dominique.  It might figure into the
final shortlist.
LOST BOYS OF SUDAN
Documentaries of this nature -- refugees
escaping terrible conditions in a foreign
land -- often fare well with the Academy;
"Daughter From Danang," a nominee
from last year, covered similar ground.
BUS 174
This gripping documentary has enthralled
critics and worldwide audiences, but for
some reason couldn't come up with a
nomination.  Perhaps it didn't make a big
enough splash in theaters.
DID NOT MAKE SHORTLIST:
STEVIE
GIRLHOOD
SINBAD
COWBOY BEBOP
PATLABOR