The other contenders...
THE FIVE NOMINEES
1/23/07
JACKIE E.
HALEY
ALAN
ARKIN
MARK
WAHLBERG
LITTLE
CHILDREN
THE DEPARTED
FOR HIM
FOR HIM
FOR HIM
His terrifyingly
aching turn was
a standout in a
well-received,
though small,
film.  Also,
he's a former
child actor, and
Oscar loves a
comeback.
If his film wins
Best Pic -- and
I think it will --
the movie's
bound to score
another big win
somewhere.  I
think that Arkin
will edge past
Murphy.
He got great
reviews, and
many critics
cited his
performance,
not Jack's, as
one of the
film's key
supporting
turns.
AGAINST HIM
AGAINST HIM
AGAINST HIM
In the year's
most
competitive
category,
anyone
through slot
#10, below,
could
conceivably
make it in.
It would be
somewhat
unprecedented
for someone
with as many
precursors as
Eddie Murphy
to come up
short at the
last minute.
There are at
least three or
four
contenders on
the bubble who
have just as
good a shot as
Wahlberg to
make the
shortlist.
6.


7.


8.


9.


10.


11.


12.
JACK NICHOLSON, The Departed
I wonder if he cares when he misses a nomination.

MICHAEL SHEEN, The Queen
His dramatic turn may fall just short as his pic's buzz wanes.

BRAD PITT, Babel
He got a Golden Globe nom, so he's still in the running.

BEN AFFLECK, Hollywoodland
With the Golden Globe nod, he's now a serious contender.

STEVE CARELL, Little Miss Sunshine
Could this be an "Office" co-award?

ADAM BEACH, Flags of Our Fathers
He earned the best notices from the ensemble cast.

MARTIN SHEEN, The Departed
He's not getting a lot of talk (yet) but the performance was A+.
MARCH 10
BERNAL
PEPPER
BARDEM
SCHWARTZMAN
GANDOLFINI
NOV 29
NICHOLSON
PITT
MURPHY
ARKIN
HALEY
DEC 12
NICHOLSON
PITT
MURPHY
SHEEN
HOUNSOU
JAN 9
NICHOLSON
PITT
MURPHY
ARKIN
HALEY
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LITTLE MISS
SUNSHINE
1
JAN 16
NICHOLSON
WAHLBERG
MURPHY
ARKIN
HALEY
DJIMON
HOUNSOU
BLOOD
DIAMOND
FOR HIM
For the second
time in his
career, he
snared a
nomination
while beating
out some
much more
high-profile
names.
AGAINST HIM
"Blood
Diamond" did
well on
nominations
morning, but
does anyone
really think it's
worthy of an
Academy
Award?
5
TOP 10 FILMS
BEST OF THE YEAR
EDDIE
MURPHY
DREAMGIRLS
FOR HIM
All the
pre-release
"Dreamgirls"
buzz centered
around him.  
Voters love
recognizing
career-
transforming
performances.
AGAINST HIM
It may be
tough to
overlook the
baggage
Murphy carries
with him:  
scores of
terrible,
off-color
"comedies."
2